WikiLeaks part 1 Cameroon

On Monday February 27th, 2012, WikiLeaks began publishing The Global Intelligence Files, over five million e-mails from the Texas headquartered “global intelligence” company Stratfor. The e-mails date between July 2004 and late December 2011. They reveal the inner workings of a company that fronts as an intelligence publisher, but provides confidential intelligence services to large corporations, such as Bhopal’s Dow Chemical Co., Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon and government agencies, including the US Department of Homeland Security, the US Marines and the US Defence Intelligence Agency. The emails show Stratfor’s web of informers, pay-off structure, payment laundering techniques and psychological methods.

CAMEROON – Cameroon: Paul Biya the invincible

Released on 2013-03-11 00:00 GMT

Email-ID

4352530

Date

2011-11-16 20:15:00

From

james.daniels@stratfor.com

To

os@stratfor.com

CAMEROON – Cameroon: Paul Biya the invincible

Cameroon: Paul Biya the invincible

http://translate.google.com/translate?sl=auto&tl=en&js=n&prev=_t&hl=en&ie=UTF-8&layout=2&eotf=1&u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.jeuneafrique.com%2F&act=url

There was no suspense, it was no surprise. The international community has

denounced irregularities in vain, the incumbent President Paul Biya was

re-elected comfortably, October 9, at the head of Cameroon. Already

divided, the opposition is now laminated.

It’s almost a tidal wave. After the October 9 presidential, Paul Biya ,

78, was comfortably re-elected for a sixth term as head of Cameroon , with

77.9% of the vote. The script was well oiled. It worked without a hitch.

The premium has not been out the least of its advantages. Until August 30,

he alone knew the election would be held when it was officially scheduled

for October 9 that day, in the privacy of his office. Under these

conditions, it was easy to have two or three strokes ahead of his

opponents. Similarly, it is without consulting the opposition parties of

its decision to the extent of the rights of Elections Cameroon (ELECAM),

responsible for organizing the election, and appointed its members.

He enjoyed the many dysfunctions of the body, as claimed by his opponents?

It suggests that a statement of Robert P. Jackson, the U.S. ambassador to

Cameroon, who denounced with unusual virulence “irregularities at all

levels.” France, which had initially estimated that the voting took place

under acceptable conditions, eventually backed down also acknowledging

irregularities .

A campaign of Head of State

The suspense, however, was almost zero. Performed in three steps (in

Maroua, Douala and Kribi), the candidate’s campaign of Democratic Rally of

the Cameroon People (CPDM) was conducted with the resources allocated to

the head of state, security services and presidential helicopter fleet

included . The national airline, Camair-Co, has even hired the only

aircraft designed for domestic routes regardless of the agenda of the

other candidates have to make the heels in airports. His teams have put up

posters – a larger size with the recommendations of Elecam – on almost all

the advertising space available … the figure of the candidate never did

much confused with the president. Add to this the fact that, in the

collective unconscious, the longevity of the “reign” of Paul Biya has a

master and a fascination amazing. “Many of us see it as both a metronome

and a political reference time,” says an academic.

Not surprisingly either, Biya’s re-election was orchestrated by the DPRK.

The party congress, held on 15 and 16 September , showed the complexity of

the machine to save President candidate: large State committed to the

business elite side by side, bosses Cameroon subsidiaries of large foreign

companies are sitting turbaned Lamidos with the heirs of the great wealthy

families showing up with generals and senior officers of the army in

uniform ceremonial … A huge reservoir of energy for champion: in every

election, it provides an implementation of the whole country, and a

considerable logistical and financial support. And if money is not an

issue , campaign spending is a closely guarded secret. According to some

indiscretions, the party would have paid over 3 billion CFA francs (4.6

million) in a Parisian communications agency and assigned a fifteen

billion CFA francs to buy gadgets campaign.

Pressed to give pledges of fidelity and victories in their ‘fiefs’

respective managers of the CPDM are often willing to do anything. Taken as

a collective amnesia, some forget that many party members now imprisoned.

In this assembly ruthless, it was banned “comrades” fell to have confused

the public treasury and personal cassette.

Base shaking

In opposition, the money was sorely lacking. The budgets were meager and

public funding (40,000 euros) insufficient. This explains the successive

failures, but only in part. The errors of the opponents are also important

in the victory of the incumbent. They once again wrongly the presidential

election as a referendum for or against Biya. The results have undeceived:

the boss of the Social Democratic Front (SDF), John Fru Ndi, came in

second with 10.71% of the votes and sits on a pedestal now shaky. He lost

his ability to mobilize the electorate in favor of “change” his campaign

theme repeatedly recycled. Adamou Ndam Njoya, fourth with 1.53% of the

vote, see unravel its grip on the base of ethno Nun, on which were his

party, the Democratic Union of Cameroon (UDC). Also huge defeat for

Jean-Jacques Ekindi, the Progressive Movement, ninth with 0.46% of the

vote. Polytechnique in burlesque style, he never knew about as urban,

rural forgetting, however, more likely to vote. Even the young Edith Kah

Walla , sixth with 0.72%, very active on social networks, ultimately did

not have more substance than hype.

Unforgivable

Taulier between the opposition, we cordially detests. Ndam Njoya has still

not forgiven Fru Ndi to have maintained its bid after rejecting the

verdict that designated him Njoya, as candidate of the opposition in 2004.

Garga Haman Adji (third with 3.21%) may well be the only minister to have

stormed out of the government by conviction, he has never found favor in

the eyes of tenors who suspected, not without bad faith, run for power –

even if it is true that native Maroua cherish the dream of delight to the

English prime minister …

The veterans of the opposition are all the more unforgivable that they

knew what to expect. Ethnic rivalries and folds have prevented the

emergence of a coalition. However, no political party had the necessary

human, financial and logistics to deploy on the territory or to be

represented in the 24 000 polling stations and monitor the integrity of

the ballot. “They were almost absent in rural north. Miscalculation, they

staked everything on the big cities where abstention was unfortunately

very important, “says Gatama Guibas, regional director of the weekly

L’Oeil du Sahel. However, the three regions of the North up a third of all

voters. But rather than appeal to technocrats and other professionals of

electoral battles, they preferred to surround himself with family members

and increased errors. Unprepared, they lost the battle of credibility and

open an avenue to the outgoing president. For the fourth consecutive time.

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